{
  "api_version": "1",
  "updated": "2026-10-17",
  "latest_event": "2026-10-15",
  "rights": "© Frontier Log, all rights reserved.",
  "story": {
    "slug": "china-vs-the-rest",
    "title": "China vs the Rest",
    "url": "https://frontierlog.ai/stories/china-vs-the-rest",
    "image": "https://frontierlog.ai/og/story-china-vs-the-rest-size.png",
    "event": null,
    "tags": [
      "open-weights"
    ],
    "images": [
      "https://frontierlog.ai/og/story-china-vs-the-rest-size.png",
      "https://frontierlog.ai/og/story-china-vs-the-rest-price.png",
      "https://frontierlog.ai/og/story-china-vs-the-rest-lag.png"
    ],
    "steps": [
      {
        "event": "2024-12-26-deepseek-v3",
        "date": "2024-12-26",
        "lab": "deepseek",
        "label": "DeepSeek-V3",
        "note": "671B: largest open model yet",
        "key": true
      },
      {
        "event": "2025-07-11-kimi-k2",
        "date": "2025-07-11",
        "lab": "moonshot",
        "label": "Kimi K2",
        "note": "First 1T open model",
        "key": false
      },
      {
        "event": "2025-09-29-deepseek-v3-2-exp",
        "date": "2025-09-29",
        "lab": "deepseek",
        "label": "DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp",
        "note": "API price cut by over half",
        "key": false
      },
      {
        "event": "2025-12-01-deepseek-v3-2",
        "date": "2025-12-01",
        "lab": "deepseek",
        "label": "DeepSeek-V3.2",
        "note": "73.1% on SWE-bench Verified",
        "key": false
      },
      {
        "event": "2026-01-27-kimi-k2-5",
        "date": "2026-01-27",
        "lab": "moonshot",
        "label": "Kimi K2.5",
        "note": "76.8% on SWE-bench Verified",
        "key": false
      },
      {
        "event": "2026-02-12-minimax-m2-5",
        "date": "2026-02-12",
        "lab": "minimax",
        "label": "MiniMax M2.5",
        "note": "80.2% on SWE-bench Verified",
        "key": false
      },
      {
        "event": "2026-04-24-deepseek-v4-preview",
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "lab": "deepseek",
        "label": "DeepSeek V4",
        "note": "1.6T at $3.48 per 1M",
        "key": true
      },
      {
        "event": "2026-08-03-qwen3-8-max",
        "date": "2026-08-03",
        "lab": "alibaba",
        "label": "Qwen3.8-Max",
        "note": "2.4T open weights",
        "key": false
      }
    ],
    "tables": [
      {
        "title": "Open-weights flagships, total parameters",
        "unit": "B",
        "rows": [
          {
            "event": "2024-07-23-llama-3-1-405b",
            "date": "2024-07-23",
            "lab": "meta",
            "value": 405,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3-1/",
            "where": "opening: \"we're publicly releasing Meta Llama 3.1 405B\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2024-12-26-deepseek-v3",
            "date": "2024-12-26",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 671,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news1226/",
            "where": "What's new in V3: \"671B MoE parameters\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-07-11-kimi-k2",
            "date": "2025-07-11",
            "lab": "moonshot",
            "value": 1000,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2",
            "where": "opening: \"1 trillion total parameters\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-08-05-gpt-oss",
            "date": "2025-08-05",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 117,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-oss",
            "where": "Pre-training & model architecture: gpt-oss-120b, \"117b\" total parameters"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-24-deepseek-v4-preview",
            "date": "2026-04-24",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 1600,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news260424/",
            "where": "\"DeepSeek-V4-Pro: 1.6T total / 49B active params\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-08-03-qwen3-8-max",
            "date": "2026-08-03",
            "lab": "alibaba",
            "value": 2400,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.8",
            "where": "model summary: \"2.4T parameters (95B active), with open weights releasing next week\"; Alizila, Aug. 17, 2026: weights released"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "GPQA Diamond",
        "unit": "%",
        "rows": [
          {
            "event": "2024-12-26-deepseek-v3",
            "date": "2024-12-26",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 59.1,
            "printed": "59.1",
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news1226/",
            "where": "benchmark table image, row 'GPQA-Diamond (Pass@1)', column 'DeepSeek-V3'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-07-11-kimi-k2",
            "date": "2025-07-11",
            "lab": "moonshot",
            "value": 75.1,
            "printed": "75.1",
            "source": "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2",
            "where": "benchmark table, row 'GPQA-Diamond | Avg@8', column 'Kimi K2 Instruct'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-08-05-gpt-oss",
            "date": "2025-08-05",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 80.1,
            "printed": "80.1",
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-oss",
            "where": "chart 'GPQA Diamond (without tools)', bar 'gpt-oss-120b'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-24-deepseek-v4-preview",
            "date": "2026-04-24",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 90.1,
            "printed": "90.1",
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news260424/",
            "where": "benchmark table image, row 'GPQA Diamond (Pass@1)', column 'DS-V4-Pro Max'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-08-03-qwen3-8-max",
            "date": "2026-08-03",
            "lab": "alibaba",
            "value": 92.6,
            "printed": "92.6",
            "source": "https://qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.8",
            "where": "'Full Benchmark Table', row 'GPQA Diamond', column 'Qwen3.8-Max'"
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "Output price, $ per 1M tokens",
        "unit": "",
        "rows": [
          {
            "event": "2025-09-29-deepseek-v3-2-exp",
            "date": "2025-09-29",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 0.42,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news250929/",
            "where": "price image: Output $0.42 per 1M tokens"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-06-01-minimax-m3",
            "date": "2026-06-01",
            "lab": "minimax",
            "value": 2.4,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://www.minimax.io/blog/minimax-m3",
            "where": "price table image: MiniMax M3 (≤512K), Output $2.40 per 1M tokens"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-24-deepseek-v4-preview",
            "date": "2026-04-24",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 3.48,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news260424/",
            "where": "price table image: deepseek-v4-pro, Output \"$ 3.48\" (no unit printed; DeepSeek quotes its API prices per 1M tokens)"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-08-07-gpt-5",
            "date": "2025-08-07",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 10,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-for-developers/",
            "where": "\"GPT-5 is priced at $1.25/1M input tokens and $10/1M output tokens\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-12-11-gpt-5-2",
            "date": "2025-12-11",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 14,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2",
            "where": "\"GPT-5.2 is priced at $1.75/1M input tokens and $14/1M output tokens\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-02-05-claude-opus-4-6",
            "date": "2026-02-05",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 25,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6",
            "where": "\"Pricing remains the same at $5/$25 per million tokens\""
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-16-claude-opus-4-7",
            "date": "2026-04-16",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 25,
            "printed": null,
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7",
            "where": "\"$5 per million input tokens and $25 per million output tokens\""
          }
        ]
      },
      {
        "title": "SWE-bench Verified",
        "unit": "%",
        "rows": [
          {
            "event": "2025-07-11-kimi-k2",
            "date": "2025-07-11",
            "lab": "moonshot",
            "value": 65.8,
            "printed": "65.8",
            "source": "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2",
            "where": "benchmark table, row 'SWE-bench Verified (Agentic Coding) | Single Attempt (Acc)', column 'Kimi K2 Instruct'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-08-07-gpt-5",
            "date": "2025-08-07",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 74.9,
            "printed": "74.9%",
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5",
            "where": "text, opening summary of results"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-09-29-deepseek-v3-2-exp",
            "date": "2025-09-29",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 67.8,
            "printed": "67.8",
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news250929/",
            "where": "benchmark table image, row 'SWE Verified', column 'DeepSeek-V3.2-Exp'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-09-29-claude-sonnet-4-5",
            "date": "2025-09-29",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 77.2,
            "printed": "77.2%",
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5",
            "where": "benchmark table (image), row 'Agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified', column 'Claude Sonnet 4.5', first value"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-11-24-claude-opus-4-5",
            "date": "2025-11-24",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 80.9,
            "printed": "80.9%",
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-5",
            "where": "benchmark table (image), row 'Agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified', column 'Opus 4.5'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-12-01-deepseek-v3-2",
            "date": "2025-12-01",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 73.1,
            "printed": "73.1",
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news251201/",
            "where": "benchmark chart image, 'SWE Verified (Resolved)', bar 'DeepSeek-V3.2-Thinking'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2025-12-11-gpt-5-2",
            "date": "2025-12-11",
            "lab": "openai",
            "value": 80.0,
            "printed": "80.0%",
            "source": "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2",
            "where": "coding table, row 'SWE-bench Verified', column 'GPT-5.2 Thinking'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-01-27-kimi-k2-5",
            "date": "2026-01-27",
            "lab": "moonshot",
            "value": 76.8,
            "printed": "76.8",
            "source": "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2-5",
            "where": "benchmark chart 'Coding', 'SWE-Bench Verified', bar 'Kimi K2.5'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-02-12-minimax-m2-5",
            "date": "2026-02-12",
            "lab": "minimax",
            "value": 80.2,
            "printed": "80.2%",
            "source": "https://www.minimax.io/news/minimax-m25",
            "where": "opening paragraph"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-02-05-claude-opus-4-6",
            "date": "2026-02-05",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 80.8,
            "printed": "80.8%",
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6",
            "where": "benchmark table (image), row 'Agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified', column 'Opus 4.6'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-16-claude-opus-4-7",
            "date": "2026-04-16",
            "lab": "anthropic",
            "value": 87.6,
            "printed": "87.6%",
            "source": "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7",
            "where": "benchmark table (image), row 'Agentic coding, SWE-bench Verified', column 'Opus 4.7'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-06-01-minimax-m3",
            "date": "2026-06-01",
            "lab": "minimax",
            "value": 80.5,
            "printed": "80.5",
            "source": "https://www.minimax.io/blog/minimax-m3",
            "where": "benchmark table image, row 'SWE-Bench Verified', column 'MiniMax M3'"
          },
          {
            "event": "2026-04-24-deepseek-v4-preview",
            "date": "2026-04-24",
            "lab": "deepseek",
            "value": 80.6,
            "printed": "80.6",
            "source": "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news260424/",
            "where": "benchmark table image, row 'SWE Verified (Resolved)', column 'DS-V4-Pro Max'"
          }
        ]
      }
    ],
    "sources": [
      "https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3-1/",
      "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news1226/",
      "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news250929/",
      "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news251201/",
      "https://api-docs.deepseek.com/news/news260424/",
      "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5",
      "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-2",
      "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-5-for-developers/",
      "https://openai.com/index/introducing-gpt-oss",
      "https://qwen.ai/blog?id=qwen3.8",
      "https://www.alizila.com/alibaba-unveils-qwen3-8-27b-and-releases-weights-of-qwen3-8-flagship-model/",
      "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-5",
      "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6",
      "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7",
      "https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-sonnet-4-5",
      "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2",
      "https://www.kimi.ai/blog/kimi-k2-5",
      "https://www.minimax.io/blog/minimax-m3",
      "https://www.minimax.io/news/minimax-m25"
    ]
  }
}